Jordan Walker Home Run Prop Bet: Best MLB Daily Dinger Pick and Odds for May 14, 2026
Daily Dinger Home Run Pick: Jordan Walker (+310)
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Today’s Pick: Who to back for a homer?
Odds are provided by FanDuel Sportsbook and may shift during the day after this article goes live. All statistics come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Jordan Walker to Hit a Home Run (+310) Cardinals at Athletics, 3:06 p.m. ET
To Hit A Home Run
Jordan Walker
Odds/lines subject to change
Walker faces a left-hander in a ballpark friendly to power, making him an appealing homer pick today. The starter is Jacob Lopez, who, in prior seasons, flashed swing-and-miss upside, but 2026 has been tougher: a 5.71 SIERA and a 7.7% swinging-strike rate. Lopez has also been susceptible to fly balls, posting a 52.6% fly-ball rate and allowing a .398 wOBA with roughly 2.45 homers per nine to right-handed hitters. In his last home start, he yielded two homers and six earned runs. Walker has emerged as one of the game’s top hitters this season, carrying a .402 wOBA and 11 homers. Under the hood, his indicators look solid, with a 46.2% hard-hit rate and a 44.3% fly-ball rate. This matchup and venue could offer him a clear opportunity to go deep.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?
A +310 line implies a $100 bet would return $310 in profit if the player homers. You can wager any amount—the example above would yield $31 in profit on a $10 bet. The figure reflects the sportsbook’s implied probability of the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).
What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn’t start?
FanDuel’s policy is that a HR prop bet won’t be voided if the player records at least one at-bat—even as a pinch-hitter. If they don’t appear at the plate at all, the bet is typically voided. Always verify FanDuel’s official terms before wagering.
Can I parlay home run props on FanDuel?
Yes. You can combine multiple HR props into a standard parlay or within a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for a single game. All legs must win for the payout.
What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?
Critical factors include the hitter’s recent HR pace and power profile, the pitcher’s home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and factors, wind and temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness.
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Which home run props stand out to you today?
