Colombia’s World Cup Stock Soars After Winning Group K

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Colombia stunned prediction markets after winning Group K, securing top spot with a hard-fought draw against Portugal.

The result gives Colombia what many view as one of the clearest paths to the World Cup quarterfinals. They are projected to face Ghana and Switzerland before a potential semifinal clash with Argentina, the team they met in the 2024 Copa América final.

Recent history suggests Colombia can compete with the defending South American champions. Over their last three meetings with Argentina, Colombia has a 1-1-1 record, including a 2-1 victory, a 1-1 draw, and a narrow 1-0 defeat.

Bettors reacted quickly. Colombia’s World Cup futures contract on Polymarket more than doubled overnight to 2.5 cents, implying roughly 39-1 odds to win the tournament. The move lifts Colombia to the ninth favorite in the market, behind Germany and the Netherlands, while moving ahead of the United States, Norway, and Morocco.

With a favorable knockout path and growing market confidence, Colombia is rapidly emerging as one of the tournament’s most intriguing dark horses.

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