World Cup Day 3 Shakes Up Betting Markets as Morocco Surges and Switzerland, Turkey Tumble
The 2026 FIFA World Cup continues to deliver surprises, and prediction markets and sportsbooks are scrambling to adjust following a dramatic Day 3 of action.
Switzerland suffered one of the biggest market declines after being held to a disappointing 1-1 draw against Qatar. Following the result, Switzerland’s outright World Cup price on Polymarket collapsed by 50%, reflecting growing concerns about their ability to top their group and make a deep tournament run.
Turkey experienced a similarly sharp decline after falling 2-0 to Australia in one of the tournament’s biggest upsets so far. The defeat triggered a 50% drop in Turkey’s Polymarket price as bettors reassessed their chances of advancing.
Meanwhile, Morocco continued to strengthen their reputation as one of the World Cup’s most dangerous dark horses. The Atlas Lions earned an impressive 1-1 draw against Brazil, prompting an 85% surge in their Polymarket odds.
Despite becoming the first African nation to reach a World Cup semifinal in 2022, Morocco entered the tournament overlooked by many sportsbooks. That perception may finally be changing. Several sportsbooks have shortened Morocco’s outright odds from 50-1 to +3300 following their performance against one of the tournament favorites.
If Day 3 proved anything, it’s that World Cup betting markets can shift dramatically after just one match. With the group stage still in its early stages, expect more volatility as contenders emerge and pretenders fade.
Key Market Movers:
- Switzerland: ▼ 50% after 1-1 draw vs. Qatar
- Turkey: ▼ 50% after 2-0 loss vs. Australia
- Morocco: ▲ 85% after 1-1 draw vs. Brazil (+3300 to win outright)
