Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 3 Betting Preview, Odds, Picks and Predictions

San Antonio enters the game as a 4.5-point favorite after opening as a 3.5-point favorite. The over/under is set at 216.5 points.

The Western Conference playoff series between the Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs shifts to Minneapolis tonight for Game 3, with the series tied 1-1 after San Antonio’s dominant win in Game 2.

The Spurs bounced back in impressive fashion after losing the opener, controlling Wednesday’s game from start to finish. San Antonio pressured Minnesota immediately, forcing turnovers on the Timberwolves’ first three possessions and setting the pace early. The Spurs built a 24-17 lead after the first quarter before completely taking over in the second, outscoring Minnesota 35-18 to carry a commanding 59-35 advantage into halftime — the Timberwolves’ lowest-scoring first half of the season.

San Antonio’s defense and transition offense proved overwhelming throughout the game. The Spurs led by as many as 47 points, scored 58 points in the paint, and converted 22 Minnesota turnovers into 29 fast-break points. Victor Wembanyama anchored the effort with 19 points, 15 rebounds, and two blocks.

Minnesota now looks to regroup at home after suffering the worst playoff defeat in franchise history. Despite the lopsided loss, the Timberwolves have responded well to adversity throughout the postseason and are expected to come out with more energy in Game 3. However, they’ll need stronger performances from key players. The Timberwolves shot just 40% from the field in Game 2 while allowing the Spurs to shoot 50%.

Anthony Edwards, who is still dealing with a knee issue, came off the bench again and finished with 13 points on 5-of-13 shooting. Ayo Dosunmu, battling a heel injury, was also limited and failed to score in ten minutes of action. Their health remains a major storyline entering tonight’s matchup.

Game 3 tips off Friday night at Target Center in Minneapolis at 9:30 p.m. ET and will stream on Prime Video.

Several trends stand out heading into Game 3. Minnesota has been strong at home this season with a 29-15 record, but San Antonio has also thrived on the road at 31-12. Rudy Gobert has recorded at least 10 rebounds in five of his last six games, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging three assists per game in the series.

Our AI betting model is avoiding the moneyline but favors San Antonio to cover the 4.5-point spread. The model also leans toward the under on the 216.5-point total and highlights Spurs guard Dylan Harper to score at least 11 points as a strong player prop option.

Projected starters for Minnesota include Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs are expected to start De’Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, and Julian Champagnie.

On the injury front, Edwards and Dosunmu are both listed as questionable for Minnesota, while Donte DiVincenzo has already been ruled out with an Achilles injury. For San Antonio, David Jones Garcia remains sidelined with an ankle issue.