2026 PGA Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s nailed 17 majors
2026 PGA Championship Odds, Predictions and Leaderboard
The major season got off to a thrilling start as Rory McIlroy defended his Augusta title to win his second straight Masters. The PGA Championship 2026 is set to tee off on Thursday, May 14, from Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania.
Scottie Scheffler, who finished second at both the Masters and this past week’s RBC Heritage, is the defending PGA Championship winner after he prevailed by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year.
The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as the +440 favorite (risk $100 to win $440), with McIlroy at +750 and Jon Rahm at +1300 among the other early contenders. Cameron Young moved up to +1300 as well after his win at the Cadillac Championship.
Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine. SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. This same model has also nailed a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters — its fifth Masters in a row — as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.
Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field is beginning to take shape, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one-and-done contests or PGA DFS lineups.
2026 PGA Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2026: It projects that DeChambeau barely cracks the top 5 despite being one of the early favorites. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and then struggled in Mexico City two weeks ago, withdrawing with wrist discomfort after falling 16 shots behind the lead. He has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, but has also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model projects a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. The 2025 Tour Championship winner is still looking for his first major win. He’s in strong form this season, however, recording four top-10 finishes. He was contending for another top-10 at the Masters this year before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has strong metrics off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens, he has a great shot to be a contender. See who else to pick here.
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