Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Prediction: Rangers keep it close against red-hot Cubs

The Chicago Cubs are the hottest team in baseball, riding a 10-game winning streak. They’re favored to extend that streak in Texas, but my Cubs vs. Rangers predictions suggest the home team will keep it close. Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Saturday, May 9.

Game Info

How to watch Cubs vs Rangers and game info
Location: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Starting Pitchers:
Edward Cabrera (3-0, 3.27 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Jack Leiter (1-3, 5.45 ERA)

Moneyline: Cubs -140 | Rangers +120
Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+115) | Rangers +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Trend:
The Cubs have hit the game total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.05 units, 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Rangers.

Game Pick: Rangers +1.5 (-135)

Jack Leiter has posted an xFIP of 3.44 and a SIERA of 3.52, placing him among today’s potential standouts alongside Joe Ryan, Landon Roupp, and Braxton Ashcraft. Those arms have ERAs in the low-to-mid thirties, yet Leiter sits at 5.44. It’s a contrasting tale for Chicago’s Edward Cabrera. His ERA is 3.27 despite a 4.21 xERA. He has yielded a lot of hard contact and ranks in the 11th percentile in barrel rate. With both starters carrying misleading surface stats — and the Cubs on a 10-game run — there’s value in backing the Rangers to stay within a run and a half.

Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

Leiter has allowed 20 runs over his last five starts. While I expect improvement moving forward, it’s unlikely he’ll completely quiet a Cubs offense that leads the league in runs per game and on-base percentage. The Rangers also figure to contribute runs, as their offense has posted solid underlying numbers: seventh in hard-hit rate, 10th in fly-ball rate, and 13th in wOBA versus right-handed pitching over the last month. They should pose problems for Cabrera.