2026 Truist Championship odds, picks: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s nailed 17 majors
Event and schedule
One of the most competitive stretches on the PGA Tour schedule continues this week with the 2026 Truist Championship at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina. The event begins on Thursday, May 7, at 7:45 a.m. ET. It carries Signature Event status, the same as last week’s Cadillac Championship, and it sits a week before the PGA Championship, the year’s second major.
Field and odds
Scottie Scheffler is taking the week off, but World No. 2 Rory McIlroy is in the 2026 Truist Championship field. The latest odds via FanDuel list McIlroy as the +550 favorite (risk $100 to win $550), with Cameron Young and Xander Schauffele both at +950. Ludvig Aberg (+1500) and Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600) are among the other top contenders.
Model projections and picks
Before locking in any 2026 Truist Championship picks, or any PGA DFS picks or One and Done selections, be sure to see the 2026 Truist Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine. SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and has a history of producing highly profitable golf betting picks. This model has nailed 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters—its fifth Masters in a row—as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. Visit our DraftKings promo code review to see their latest offers and get started.
Now that the 2026 Truist Championship field is set, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one-and-done contests, or PGA DFS lineups.
2026 Truist Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Truist Championship 2026: It is fading Si Woo Kim, who is sixth on the PGA odds board at +2200, but barely cracks the top 20 in McClure’s projected leaderboard. He’s a golfer to avoid this week. Kim enters this tournament with three top-10 finishes in his past four events, including a T4 finish at the Cadillac Championship. He finished solo eighth at the PGA Championship at this course last year, but that was largely powered by a sizzling second-round 64. He shot 71 or higher in the other three rounds, and the model does not project him as a top contender for this week. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: The model is high on Adam Scott at +3500. He’s a golfer to target in both outright and finishing-position bets such as top 5 or top 10. The 14-time PGA winner tied with Kim (T4) at the Cadillac Championship last week for his second top-five finish of the year. His putting has been inconsistent, but otherwise his metrics are strong, including ranking first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approaching the green. See who else to pick here.
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