Yankees vs Rangers Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 7

Game Overview
The New York Yankees will square off against the Texas Rangers in MLB action on Thursday. Here’s the essential info you need before checking FanDuel Sportsbook for the latest MLB odds and spreads. The Yankees (25-12) meet the Rangers (17-19) on May 7, 2026, with first pitch set for 12:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Coverage will be provided by YES and RSN.

Odds and Totals
All MLB odds, betting lines, and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook. Moneyline: NYY -142, TEX +120. Spread: NYY -1.5 (+146), TEX +1.5 (-176). Total: 8.5 — Over (-110), Under (-110).

Probable Starting Pitchers
The Yankees will call on Paul Blackburn (1-1, 3.21 ERA) to face MacKenzie Gore (2-2, 4.67 ERA) of the Rangers. Blackburn is aiming for his second win of the year, while Gore gets the ball for Texas. In last season’s appearances, Blackburn went 2-2-0 against the spread across four games and lost in his lone moneyline-favorite appearance. Gore’s seven starts with a set spread have the Rangers at 2-5-0 ATS, and Texas has been the moneyline underdog in four of Gore’s starts this season, going 3-1 in those games.

Predictions and Market Insights
NumberFire’s win-probability model provides the following outlook: Yankees to win, 54.3%. On the moneyline, New York is a -142 favorite with Texas at +120 on the road. The Rangers are +1.5 on the spread (-176 to cover), while New York sits at -146 to cover the run line. The game total is 8.5, with the over and under each at -110.

Betting Context
FanDuel today hosts the Yankees vs. Rangers matchup. The Yankees have been favorites in 33 games this season, winning 22 of those (66.7%). New York is 15-22 this year when listed at least -142 on the moneyline. Through 35 games with a defined total, the Yankees have reached the over in 16 and the under in 19. In 35 games with a line, New York is 21-14-0 against the spread. Texas has gone 10-13 as moneyline underdog (43.5% win rate) and 2-4 when an underdog priced at +120 or longer (33.3%). In 36 games with an over/under, the Rangers and opponents have combined to go over 14 times (14-20-2). The Rangers are 19-17-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Player Leaders
Aaron Judge has amassed six doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .273. He owns an on-base percentage of .407 and a slugging percentage of .659. Among qualified hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks 50th, his on-base percentage ranks eighth, and his slugging percentage ranks fourth. Judge looks to build on a four-game hitting streak in this matinee contest.