Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 7
Game Info:
Boston Red Sox (16-21) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (24-12)
Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
Coverage: ESPN
All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Betting Info:
Moneyline: BOS -120 | TB +102
Spread: BOS +1.5 (-205) | TB -1.5 (+168)
Total: 8.5 — Over -105 | Under -115
Probable Starting Pitchers:
Jake Bennett (Red Sox) — 1-0, 1.80 ERA
Griffin Jax (Rays) — 1-2, 5.14 ERA
The Red Sox will send Bennett (1-0) to oppose Jax (1-2). Bennett’s lone start this season helped his team cover the spread, and his club won that game as a favorite. Jax has started two games with fixed spreads, and the Rays have covered in both outings. In one Jax start this season, the Rays were the moneyline underdog and they won.
Prediction and Bets
NumberFire projects the Red Sox to win with a 50.7% likelihood.
On the moneyline, Boston is listed as a -120 favorite on the road, while Tampa Bay is at +102.
The Rays are 1.5-run favorites on the runline, with a +168 price to cover, while the Red Sox are -205 to cover as the 1.5-run underdog on that line.
The game total is set at 8.5, with the Over at -105 and the Under at -115.
Bet on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays on FanDuel today!
Team Trends
The Red Sox have 11 wins in the 24 games they have been listed as the favorites this season. They have won 9 of 22 games when listed at -120 on the moneyline or better. Boston and their opponents have gone over in 18 of 37 games with totals set by sportsbooks this season. Boston is 13-24-0 against the spread in 37 games with a listed line.
The Rays have won 60% of the games they were the moneyline underdog (9-6). Tampa Bay is 6-3 (66.7%) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer. The Rays have been involved in 35 games with an over/under, going over 18 times and under 17 (18-17-0). They are 22-13-0 against the spread this season.
Wilyer Abreu has an OPS of .848, driven by a .381 on-base percentage and a .467 slugging percentage, along with a .299 batting average. He ranks 26th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging among all qualified hitters.
Willson Contreras has 34 hits, the most on Boston this season. He’s batting .264 with 12 extra-base hits, a .481 slugging percentage, and a .376 on-base percentage.
